UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:23 PDT

cfp Fla Atlantic 1
  
Fla Atlantic          
W-L: ( 3- 5) PR = 64.0292

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Maryland B10 ( 4- 4, 74.2) 7-39 906 H Florida AM 56-14 913 A Florida Intl CUSA ( 3- 5, 63.8) 28-38 927 H Memphis AME ( 8- 1, 80.8) 26-55 1004 A Rice AME ( 4- 5, 61.2) 27-21 1011 H UAB AME ( 3- 5, 62.8) 53-33 1018 A So Florida AME ( 6- 2, 86.4) 13-48 1025 A Navy AME ( 7- 1, 69.6) 32-42 1108 H Tulsa AME ( 2- 6, 61.1) 1115 A Tulane AME ( 6- 2, 73.0) 1122 H UConn IND ( 6- 3, 71.4) 1129 H Ea Carolina AME ( 5- 3, 77.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 A Maryland                7-39     -32   -14    --    -5.86
   913 A Florida Intl           28-38     -10    -4    ---   -6.29
   927 H Memphis                26-55     -29   -13    ---   -7.18
  1004 A Rice                   27-21       6    -1    +++    7.07
  1011 H UAB                    53-33      20     5    +++   14.81
  1018 A So Florida             13-48     -35   -26           0.00
  1025 A Navy                   32-42     -10    -9          -0.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   913 A Florida Intl           28-38     -10    -4    ---   -6.29
   927 H Memphis                26-55     -29   -13    ---   -7.18
   830 A Maryland                7-39     -32   -14    --    -5.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1004 A Rice                   27-21       6    -1    +++    7.07
  1011 H UAB                    53-33      20     5    +++   14.81

Fla Atlantic Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Boston Col `   Boston Col `
California California   California
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke   Duke
Florida St Florida St   Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech   Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Miami
UNC UNC   UNC
NC St NC St   NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
SMU SMU   SMU
Stanford Stanford   Stanford
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Va Tech   Va Tech
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Army Army tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Army
Charlotte Fla Atlantic insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fla Atlantic
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina   Ea Carolina
Memphis Memphis Memphis  
Navy Navy Navy  
No Texas No Texas insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) No Texas
Rice Fla Atlantic Fla Atlantic  
So Florida So Florida So Florida  
Temple Temple tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Temple
Tulane Tulane   Tulane
Tulsa Fla Atlantic tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Fla Atlantic
UAB Fla Atlantic Fla Atlantic  
UTSA UTSA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UTSA
Arizona Arizona   Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St   Arizona St
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor Baylor   Baylor
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Houston Houston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas   Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St   Kansas St
Oklahoma St Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF UCF   UCF
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Maryland Maryland  
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Michigan St Michigan St   Michigan St
Minnesota Minnesota   Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St Penn St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Penn St
Purdue Purdue   Purdue
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
UCLA UCLA insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) UCLA
USC USC   USC
Washington Washington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wisconsin
Florida Intl Florida Intl Florida Intl  
Jacksonv. St Jacksonv. St   Jacksonv. St
Kennesaw St Kennesaw St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kennesaw St
Liberty Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
La Tech La Tech   La Tech
Middle Tenn Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
NM St Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
SHouston St Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
UTEP Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
We Kentucky Fla Atlantic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fla Atlantic
UMass Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
UConn UConn tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) UConn
Akron Fla Atlantic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fla Atlantic
Ball St Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
Bowl. Green Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
Buffalo Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
Cen Michigan Cen Michigan   Cen Michigan
Ea Michigan Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
Kent State Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
MiamiOH MiamiOH   MiamiOH
No Illinois Fla Atlantic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fla Atlantic
Ohio Ohio   Ohio
Toledo Toledo   Toledo
We Michigan We Michigan   We Michigan
Air Force Fla Atlantic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fla Atlantic
Boise State Boise State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Boise State
Colorado St Colorado St   Colorado St
Fresno St Fresno St   Fresno St
Hawaii Hawaii   Hawaii
Nevada Nevada   Nevada
New Mexico New Mexico   New Mexico
San Diego St San Diego St   San Diego St
San Jose St San Jose St   San Jose St
UNLV UNLV   UNLV
Utah St Utah St   Utah St
Wyoming Wyoming   Wyoming
Oregon St Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
Wash St Wash St   Wash St
Alabama Alabama   Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Auburn Auburn   Auburn
Florida Florida tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky Kentucky   Kentucky
LSU LSU   LSU
Missouri Missouri   Missouri
Miss St Miss St   Miss St
Oklahoma Oklahoma   Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss   Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina   So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tennessee
Texas Texas   Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M   Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St App St   App St
Arkansas State Arkansas State   Arkansas State
Coastal Car Coastal Car   Coastal Car
Georgia So Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
Georgia St Fla Atlantic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fla Atlantic
J Madison J Madison   J Madison
Louisiana Louisiana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Louisiana
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss So Miss   So Miss
So Alabama Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic
Texas State Texas State   Texas State
Troy Troy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Troy
La-Monroe Fla Atlantic   Fla Atlantic

PowerWise = 25


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Maryland        ( 4- 4, 74.2)     7-39      -25.66      28.33       3.93         1.21           -13.13
   0 A Florida Intl    ( 3- 5, 63.8)    28-38      -36.09      17.89       3.93         1.21           -19.44
   0 H Memphis         ( 8- 1, 80.8)    26-55      -19.13      34.86      -3.93         1.21           -13.94
   0 A Rice            ( 4- 5, 61.2)    27-21      -38.73      15.26       3.93         1.21            46.40
   0 H UAB             ( 3- 5, 62.8)    53-33      -37.13      16.86      -3.93         1.21            31.27
   0 A So Florida      ( 6- 2, 86.4)    13-48      -13.49      40.50       3.93         1.21            -5.78
   0 A Navy            ( 7- 1, 69.6)    32-42      -30.35      23.64       3.93         1.21           -15.97
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         9.40

winning pts = 77.6642 losing points = -68.2628

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------